Preface

PO3B3 – as it is coded now – has undergone quite a few iterations in the last few years, and recently the department has made the decision to remove the quantitative component from it, in order to make the teaching in quantitative methods more resilient (I am teaching three other QM modules, and so hell breaks loose when I fall ill).

I do find, however, that some students are disappointed by this, as they selected the module to brush up – or acquire – statistical skills. If this is you, then these pages provide all of the material I provided in the previous version of this module (PO33Q) which should bring students without a quantitative background up to conducting a time-series probability model.

I will indicate at the end of each lecture in the “Homework” Section which tasks I am expecting you to complete should you adopt this quantitative pathway.

All sources cited in the text are referenced in the List of References. But you can also download the full PO3B3 Bibliography.